15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. My, my, how the game has changed. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. His fantasy value was bolstered late in the year due to an insane usage rate in the passing game, seeing a whopping 8.6 targets per game when Alex Smith started. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. Fred Taylor If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. . Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Durability is atop the list after missing six games last year. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. 5. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . Avoid. In 2012, Adrian Peterson ran for a near record-breaking 2,097 yards.. only site on the planet. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. Green Bay seems to like A.J. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. most overrated running backs of all time. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. Thats the first thing we notice. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. J.D. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Simpson 13. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security. The only reason Johnson had fantasy value last year was a superhuman effort from Deshaun Watson to move the offense and produce points. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Its a knock on his offensive line. His current draft price is almost his upside. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. 5 / 30. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Emmitt Smith 4. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. Photo: Isaiah J. Has no highlight reel. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. 1 cornerstone. The Top Ten. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. He yields passing work to J.D. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. But drafting him as a high-upside No. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Single James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. James is the more physically gifted player. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. Clyde Edwards-Helaire was used as a space player last year, and his lack of a red-zone presence placed a ceiling on his fantasy value. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. While he can certainly put up some strong fantasy weeks, the savvier move would be to wait for the younger backs later in the draft. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. 25 Running Backs Overrated Players 10 Quarterbacks 12 Tight Ends 23 Wide Receivers 25 Running Backs Deep Sleepers 9 Quarterbacks 11 Tight Ends 15 Wide Receivers 13 Running Backs The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line.
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