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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts It's a busy week! Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia RSS Loading. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They consider how much. What's the Point (FiveThirtyEight Podcast) Theme - SoundCloud Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. This is the second episode. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Thats Changing. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. Edit your transcribed text. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Rev. 266, the . The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. heritage commons university of utah. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. 0:00:00 Whereas Tester . FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The Best FiveThirtyEight Podcasts (2023) - Player In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. A message from Martine. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price What does it take to make democracy work? The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. FT Podcasts | Financial Times As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Good Sport | Podcasts | TED President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. This is the first episode. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politic 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines . Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Dive in and Share your insights! June 2, 2016. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Local news is disappearing across the country. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. NEW TOWN . fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. 01:06 PM. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. Glastonbury's new town manager to make $190,000 On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why.

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