Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. June 5. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Probability is a pure odd. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. I think that was exactly Msgr. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Just go have some fucking fun! Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Something was dropped and then picked up. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. But let's think about this some more. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. A lovely day to you. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. But on all probability it would. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Me neither. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Which ones bigger? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Maybe that one would have been better. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. On one try. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. How fast does a laden fly fly? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Step 4. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. An unimaginably long time. Step 1. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? On one try. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. So what's the probability of your being born? If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Now things start getting interesting. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Which one's bigger? Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. June 24, 2022 . One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. This button displays the currently selected search type. Do you know the odds of being alive? The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Want to Read. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Are You a Miracle? The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. You may think You say that to everyone!. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Please pass this post along. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Now things start getting interesting. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. That's 150,000 generations. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. And worry and fear? How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. I hope you use your chance well. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession.
